Along with talk of porn & such here at Porn City, we will also take a look at sports – daily fantasy that is. The cultures seem to cross over quite a bit – many porn watchers are sports fans & vice versa. We have staff that is very familiar with the daily fantasy world as well as former writers at DraftKings, so we will enjoy breaking down fantasy each week.
Our main focus will be DraftKings plays. With the new formats in DFS this year, we will break down contests in the classic & pick-em styles, as both are different. This post will break down the classic, salaried format.
DraftKings NFL DFS Picks – Quarterbacks – Week 6 – Tom Brady Injury
There are solid QB matchups this week that could lead to some big points coming out. Obviously, the big discussion will be focused on Tom Brady. Brady injured his shoulder recently, but New England Patriots officials say that Tom should be ready to go against the Jets on Sunday. That said, Brady has had to carry the load for a team that doesn’t have the weapons of the past.
His TE, Rob Gronkowski, has been having nagging injuries pretty much his whole career. This year is no different. When he is on the field, Gronk is a monster, but without him & Julian Edelman (out for year), the Patriots are very ordinary. Brady has had only one game this year with under 300 yards passing (Week 1), but he has been sacked more in 5 games this year than he was all last year.
The offensive line has not protected him, and with his weapons becoming dimished a bit, teams are blitzing more. This is not always a bad thing in fantasy, however. With the increased blitzing on Brady, he will be able to match the one-on-one situations better and get the ball out fast.
The part that will make some fantasy owners in DraftKings a bit nervous is that the Jets defense is playing much better than last year. Most experts thought the Jets were going to be a last place team needing a QB. All of a sudden, the Jets are 12th in the league against the pass, & are allowing an average of only 211 yards per game.
DraftKings NFL logic would say to stay away from Brady here. But because of the injury being on his non-throwing shoulder, Bill Belichick could create a strong gameplan to allow Brady to be in shotgun & play-action situations much more. No matter what the plan will be against the Jets, fantasy owners need to think about the weak offensive line getting pressure on Brady to at least rattle him.
DeShawn Watson Should Be In Last Week As Value Pick
Last week was a terrible week for the Houston Texans. They lose their two top defensive players, J.J. Watt & Whitney Mercillus, for the season. Team loses to the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs.
However, the bright spot, and possibly the biggest bright spot in the NFL & in DraftKings DFS is DeShawn Watson. The former Clemson first-round pick is coming off of a five-touchdown performance against KC in a shootout loss.
Watson has shown his ability to run & pass well, and keep his team in games. He has shown to be a strong playmaker, and a good leader on the field & off. Houston is taking on the Cleveland Browns this weekend, a team that is in the lower-third in the NFL in pass defense.
With that said, Watson is a solid fantasy play at $6,700. At some point, teams will get some good film on him & he will need to adjust his game a bit. But right now, he is playing out of his mind & the Browns look to be in a situation where it will be another season of being terrible.
The combination of Watson & DeAndre Hopkins should do well against a weak Browns secondary. He takes care of the ball well, as he has 9 touchdowns to only 1 interception in his last two games. Don’t expect another 5 TD performance, but don’t be surprised if he is responsible for 2-3 TDs on Sunday.
At $6,700, definitely worth a play in a GPP.
Drew Brees & Matthew Stafford Are Pick’Ems
Both quarterbacks have been in offenses that have always focused on the pass, first. For Brees, his offense is undergoing a massive change with the team trading Adrian Peterson to Arizona this week. While Peterson didn’t really put up serious numbers, he could be a solid decoy to at least make teams come down in the box to possibly need to stop the run.
With no AP & a running game that still isn’t strong, Brees will go back to throwing a lot. His numbers have been down this season so far with only 1 game over 300 yards this season (vs Patriots defense ranked 30th in the league) but he has 8 touchdowns with 0 interceptions. The 0 interceptions is key because typically when a QB throws as much as Brees does, interceptions come with the territory because of defenses being able to 7-8 into coverage and take away over the top plays.
Matthew Stafford has basically never had a consistent running game during his whole career in Detroit with the Lions. The Lions, themselves, haven’t had a great runner since Barry Sanders retired – in 1999. The Lions, however, have had a bit more consistency with the run in Ameer Abdullah running a bit better as he starts to come into his own a bit. Offensive Coordinator Jim Bob Cooter has instituted more balance into the lineup, and that has helped Stafford a bit.
Stafford has a high passing game of only 292 yards (Week 1), but expect him to be much more in shotgun situations this week going against the 28th ranked pass defense in the NFL in New Orleans. The Lions pass defense is just as bad, being 27th, so Brees could be an option too.
If the home field means something, go with Brees. Mark Ingram & Alvin Kamara may get an uptick in touches rushing the ball, but coach Sean Payton will most likely lean on who & what he knows the most in this situation – Drew Brees throwing 50 times & seeing what happens.
Brees at $7,200 is a good play. Stafford at $6,500 is a great play also.
Other positions coming later today.